Bitcoin’s recent slide to $103,500 triggered more than $916 million in liquidations for leveraged long positions, sending shockwaves through the market. American investors, already grappling with inflation pressures and stock market volatility, now face another layer of uncertainty as cryptocurrency enthusiasm wanes. After weeks of struggling to stay above $110,000, the digital asset’s momentum has stalled, raising questions about the end of its prolonged upward trend.
Analysts point to historical cycles as evidence that the party might soon end. “Bitcoin bull run ends in 10 days,” declared CryptoBird in a recent X post. This prediction draws from past bull runs, where similar patterns signaled the final stages. “1,058 days since cycle low = 99.3% complete, with only 0.7% remains of this historic bull cycle. Our October 24 target is exactly 10 days away.”
Bull run ends in 10 days.
Cycle Peak Countdown says BTC is 99.3% done (1,058 days in) as we shake out weak hands in classic pre-peak pattern.
Are we in bear market or there’s more upside?
Let me explain.
(Thread) 🧵 pic.twitter.com/NB4hRuQvnZ
— CRYPTO₿IRB (@crypto_birb) October 14, 2025
The pullback aligns with classic market behavior, where weaker positions get cleared out before any last surge.
“Final weak hands getting flushed before the euphoric top.” It’s been 543 days since the 2024 Bitcoin halving, placing the market well within the typical 518- to 580-day window for cycle peaks. “We’re not just in the zone – we’re deep in the statistical heart where every major Bitcoin top has occurred.”
Market sentiment has soured dramatically, with the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index plunging to a yearly low of 22, indicating extreme fear among participants.
“This emotional washout creates the perfect launchpad for final leg euphoria.” Yet for everyday Americans saving for retirement or building wealth through stable investments, this volatility serves as a stark reminder of crypto’s risks compared to traditional assets like U.S. Treasuries or domestic stocks.
Technical indicators paint an even grimmer picture. Bitcoin has slipped below its 200-day simple moving average, exposing structural vulnerabilities that could trigger sharper declines.
“Now testing the 0.786 fibonacci retracement level around $104,000… Losing this level would bring June lows at $98,000 into the picture,” noted Daan Crypto Trades. “Touching grass if bulls can’t manage to hold this level this week.”
$BTC Losing its Daily 200MA & EMA for the first time since April.
With that, also the local support level at ~$107K is lost.
Now testing the .786 fibonacci retracement level from this move up and also when measuring from the wick on other exchanges. Coinbase pair didn’t go as… pic.twitter.com/00BKKDJMB1
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) October 17, 2025
Captain Faibik sees a rising wedge pattern on the weekly chart, forecasting a steep drop. “The Bitcoin bull run is over… A 50% bearish correction is likely incoming in the midterm.”
This could push prices toward $52,200, or even as low as $50,000, according to broader analyst views. Retail interest has already dipped to bear market territory, mirroring the caution that often precedes major corrections.
America’s economic strength relies on innovation balanced with reliability. Bitcoin’s wild swings lean heavily on the innovation side, but reliability is clearly an issue for all but the longest-term investors. As traders brace for potential turmoil, prudent investors might look to fortify their portfolios with assets tied to real productivity and growth. That’s not to say Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have no place in portfolios. They just might not be the best option at a large scale.
Absolutely amazing that any well educated / informed persons (in Finance & Economics) would “gamble” with any crypto-currency, which has absolutely no physical / economic asset backing (e.g. gold, silver, asset backed ETF’s, US Economy, etc). No one but “Gamblers” would buy any crypto with no more security than the “greater fool” theory backing itR – they might as well be betting at the roulette table in Vegas!
Absolutely amazing that any well educated / informed persons (in Finance & Economics) would “gamble” with any crypto-currency, which has absolutely no physical / economic asset backing (e.g. gold, silver, asset backed ETF’s, US Economy, etc). No one but “Gamblers” would buy any crypto with no more security than the “greater fool” theory backing it – they might as well be betting at the roulette table in Vegas!
Armchair Redneck reporting here: This Cryto Emperor’s New Clothes scheme, has been a scam from the beginning. SImilar effects to a pyramid scam. If you had the time to day trade, sometimes hourly trade this crap, you probably could have made a lot of money, but Rednecks knew from the start, this was a scam for the average investor. We don’t have the time to babysit an investment. It took a lot of us a very long time to be convinced to buy precious metals.. I’m still skeptical about that, but I did take the dive about a year ago. Now let’s see how bad that craters with time. It’s really just insurance for WWIII, but will there be any purchasers standing when it peaks out. I doubt it.
Sad for both Charles and Redneck that neither have taken the time to study the topic, resorting instead to tired, worn-out FUD arguments. Crabs in a bucket is the phrase that comes to mind immediately. Check the website bitcoincourse(dot)Io if you want to actually learn something. Two hours of time. Absolutely free. Don’t let Charles or Redneck stand between you and learning.
Obviously the ETF’s lacking a “In Kind” rule have affected this BTC bull run. Historic trend has been 3x from previous high. This bull run fell short of 2x, which would have been around $138,000 / coin. There was also a complete absence of a Alt-Coin season for the first time. Like with most things, once the government gets involved, they ruin it.