(DCNF)—CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said Tuesday that former President Donald Trump will secure a large election victory in November if 2024 polls are as inaccurate for him as they were in 2020.
Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked in a tight race across seven key battleground states, according to the RealClearPolling average and Enten’s aggregate of polling data. The data reporter, on “CNN News Central,” noted that if Trump outperforms his polling numbers by the same margin he did against President Joe Biden in 2020, he will win enough battleground states to defeat Harris by a substantial margin.
WATCH:
“If the polls are exactly right, Kamala Harris gets 276 electoral votes to Donald Trump’s 262 because she carries those Great Lake battleground states despite losing North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona. But let’s say we have a polling miss like we had in 2020,” Enten said. “What happens then? Well, then Donald Trump wins the election in a blowout with 312 electoral votes because he carries all these Great Lake battleground states plus Nevada, plus the other states he was leading in — Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia.”
“What happens if we have a polling miss like 2022? Well, in that particular case, now, the winner has flipped again. And Kamala Harris wins in a blowout with 319 electoral votes because she retakes those Great Lake battleground states, carries North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona,” he added. “So the bottom line here is, yes, we have those state polling averages. But the real thing they tell us is that this race is too close to call. We’re probably not going to know who’s going to win for another month and perhaps another month and change.”
NBC News national political correspondent Steve Kornacki said in September that, despite Harris’ slim advantage over Trump at the time, the former president has a significant chance of victory in the electoral college because he has outperformed polling expectations in both of his previous presidential elections.
“Take a look here at the last two elections, 2020, 2016, the polling at this point coming out of Labor Day, beginning the fall rush,” Kornacki told host Ana Cabrera. “In 2016, Hillary Clinton led on average by five points. Of course, Donald Trump won in 2016. And Joe Biden had an even bigger lead on average, Labor Day 2020. Donald Trump didn’t win that election, but certainly in the electoral college, he came this close to doing so, Ana. So Trump has run from behind before, certainly.”
Trump has also been gaining support from “working class voters,” such as nonwhite Americans without college degrees and union members. Enten on Monday said that Harris could offset the former president’s gains with her substantial backing among college graduates, “specifically white voters with a college degree.”
All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact [email protected].
It’s becoming increasingly clear that fiat currencies across the globe, including the U.S. Dollar, are under attack. Paper money is losing its value, translating into insane inflation and less value in our life’s savings.
Genesis Gold Group believes physical precious metals are an amazing option for those seeking to move their wealth or retirement to higher ground. Whether Central Bank Digital Currencies replace current fiat currencies or not, precious metals are poised to retain or even increase in value. This is why central banks and mega-asset managers like BlackRock are moving much of their holdings to precious metals.
As a Christian company, Genesis Gold Group has maintained a perfect 5 out of 5 rating with the Better Business Bureau. Their faith-driven values allow them to help Americans protect their life’s savings without the gimmicks used by most precious metals companies. Reach out to them today to see how they can streamline the rollover or transfer of your current and previous retirement accounts.
Is Kamala Harris’ Media Blitz Exposing Her Economic Flaws?
by Liberty Nation
Vice President Kamala Harris has been under scrutiny for her campaign rhetoric since she was handed the Democratic nomination ahead of the November election. While the mainstream media has called out her penchant for missing the mark, the examples are few and far between. The Fourth Estate’s failure to push…
Last day for the special on long-term storage beef. Save 35% with promo code “JDR” at Prepper All-Naturals.
New Poll Shows National Debt Concerning for Swing State Voters
by Just The News
A new poll of battleground states shows the $35 trillion rising national debt is a critical issue for voters. The swing state poll shows that nine out of 10 voters want candidates to have a plan for the rising national debt. This includes 95% of those voting for Democratic Vice…
“Line All Those Guys Up and Shoot Them”: Professor Says Men Who Don’t Support Female Candidates Should Be Massacred
by Daily Caller
(Jaryn Crouson, DCNF)—A professor at the University of Kansas (UK) told a class that men who would not vote for a female president should be lined up and shot, according to a video posted on X Wednesday. The university confirmed the professor is employed at UK and made the comment…
Democrats Insist That Transgender “Medicine” Is Essential to Military Recruitment
by Tyler O’Neil, Daily Signal
(The Daily Signal)—Several Democrats running in tight races for the U.S. House and Senate joined a larger group of Democrats in signing a letter urging Congress not to defund a measure providing experimental transgender medical interventions that’s included in a bill to fund the U.S. military. The vast majority of…
Whistleblower Warns That the Secret Service Is Trying to Hide Its “Negligence, Sloppiness, and Gross Incompetence” When Protecting Trump
by Bob Unruh, WND
(WND News Center)—There’s been a lot of open speculation about how effective the U.S. Secret Service, under the Joe Biden-Kamala Harris administration, has been in protecting President Donald Trump, who held that office from 2017-2021 and once again is a candidate. After all, that administration is the same administration that…
Three-Quarters of Americans Surveyed Can’t Pay Their Bills
by The New American
Lending Tree, the online lending marketplace, asked 2,040 American consumers in early September how they were doing. Seventy-six percent of them said that Bidenflation has made it more difficult than ever to pay their bills. Half of them said they have had to pay certain bills late in the last…
America Can’t Afford Four More Years of Governance by ‘Luxury Beliefs’
by Human Events
This Monday was the one-year anniversary of the October 7 massacre, an event which will rightly live in infamy. This is not simply because it remains the most vicious assault on Jews since the Holocaust, but rather because – sadly – it amounts to merely the prologue to a year…
New ‘Transparency’ Act Forces Small Businesses to Register Personal Data With Federal Law Enforcement
by The Federalist
The Corporate Transparency Act (CTA) is an aggressive domestic program to federally register millions of unsuspecting small business owners under the guise of an “anti-money laundering initiative.” By the end of this year, Americans will be required to hand over their small businesses’ private data — such as owners’ names…
New Research Shows America Isn’t Headed for a Recession… It’s Been in One Since 2022 and the Government Has Been Fudging the Numbers to Hide It
by Andrew Moran
(The Epoch Times)—New research by a pair of prominent economists suggests that the U.S. economy has been in a recession for the last two years after inflation adjustments are taken into account. According to Bureau of Labor Statistics data, cumulative inflation since 2019 has totaled nearly 25 percent. But inflation…
Survey Reveals Small Businesses Are More Uncertain Than Ever
by Casey Harper
(The Center Square)–American small business uncertainty hit an all-time high and optimism remains low just weeks before Election Day, according to the latest survey. The National Federation of Independent businesses on Monday released the survey, which showed small business uncertainty rose last month to the highest level ever recorded by…